Changing epidemics from the shape of the world, and previous experiences, confirm that the world after the Corona epidemic, will not be like before Corona.
In 1346, the plague or black death arrived in Europe from China, after it moved from mice to fleas, which in turn transmitted it to humans, and the epidemic spread globally through merchants, who moved between the countries of the world via the Silk Road.
The Silk Road is an ancient trade route linking the Mediterranean Sea to China, and Beijing is currently reviving it.
By 1348, the disease had spread in Europe and North Africa, and plague was a fierce epidemic that wiped out half the population of any region it reached, so the plague killed more than half of the English population.
The plague not only killed humans, but it overthreached the Old World order.
For example, before the plague, Europe relied on a feudal system for agriculture, in which farmers worked for lords, and on top of that they were subject to large fees and taxes despite the hard work.
However, the plague killed a large number of farmers, and their low number affected the labor force in the feudalities, prompting the rest alive to demand higher wages, lower fees and taxes, and most importantly, a less harsh work environment.
The plague epidemic destabilized the feudal system, in preparation for its elimination, creating a different world after the plague.
And the models of epidemics that changed the world are many other than the plague, such as cholera, so how will the world change after the coronavirus pandemic?
Despite uncertainty about when the pandemic will end and the effectiveness of vaccines in the face of new mutations and strains of the virus, many changes are expected, and signs have emerged even before we can eradicate the virus.
Here are the top ten predictions of the changes that will occur around the world after the pandemic:
First, a decline in the globalization of international trade and an increase in the globalization of jobs, in the sense of working from outside the borders of the state more, re-introducing the ideas of localizing industries and production chains within the borders of the state, and reducing dependence on international trade.
Second, the sustainability of remote work and greater dependence on technology in work, production and industry, and a change in the pattern of real estate demand by reducing the demand for offices, allocating spaces to work from home, and reducing pressure on transportation and traffic in the world, in light of remote work.
Third, the volume of government debt rises significantly around the world and bank interest rates stabilize at low levels amid limited price inflation.