The November midterms are two weeks away, and polls are pointing to Republicanstaking a majority in the House and Democrats barely keeping their majority in the Senate.

According to the election polling website FiveThirtyEight, Republicans currently have an 80 in 100 chance of taking the House, while the Democrats only have a 20 in 100 chance. This prediction, updated as of October 17, shows a comeback for the GOP, whose odds to win the Senate had decreased after the Supreme Court voted to overturn Roe v. Wade in June.

Even at its lowest, the GOP still had a 68 in 100 chance of winning the House while the Democrats had a 32 in 100 chance at their best, according to FiveThirtyEight.

Now, two weeks from the midterms, Republicans have roughly a 3-in-4 chance of taking control of the chamber.

"It presents a chance for the Republicans [...] to have control over the writing of legislation and budgets," Professor Jonathan Parker, senior lecturer in U.S. Politics at Keele University, U.K., previously told Newsweek.

Biden would have to use his veto power, a very blunt instrument, as his only leverage over Congress. It also means if they can stop judicial appointments, particularly any Supreme Court vacancies, in the hopes of retaking the presidency in 2024. This will be a huge obstacle to the Biden presidency accomplishing any further lasting policy changes. The stakes are high for both sides, but the Democrats have much more to lose if they fail."

Under these circumstances, keeping control of the Senate is of fundamental importance for the Democratic party, said Parker.

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"Control of the Senate is absolutely crucial for the Biden presidency as well as the longer-term prospects for the Democratic Party," he said."President Biden needs the approval of the Senate for all major political appointments to his administration and, most importantly, to appoint any federal judges to the district, appellate, and Supreme Court. The biggest legacy of the Trump administration was the large number of judges he appointed, roughly equal to both terms of the Obama administration. The Democrats really need Biden to be able to appoint judges to counter this shift, but that will largely come to an end if the Democrats don't control the Senate."

There are 14 Democratic seats and 21 Republican seats on the Senate ballot in November. The Senate would shift to the GOP if Republican nominees around the country manage to win 26 of the 35 total races.

Back in early June, Republicans had a 60 in 100 chance of winning the Senate, but the likelihood of a GOP victory steadily dropped through the summer following the Supreme Court's overturning of Roe v. Wade. On September 20, Republicans had a 29 in 100 chance of taking the Senate, while Democrats had a 71 in 100 chance.

The distance between the two parties was still significant until mid-October but quickly closed between October 15 and October 23, though the Democratic party maintains a small lead.