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Programming & Development Math / Algorithms / Analytics

Actuarial Consulting

$30/hr Starting at $300

1. Risk Assessment:

a. Risk Identification:

  • Hazard Analysis: Assessing potential risks associated with new insurance products by identifying various hazards (e.g., mortality, morbidity, lapse rates, etc.).
  • Data Collection: Gathering relevant historical data, considering factors like demographics, health statistics, and market trends.

b. Risk Quantification:

  • Probability Estimation: Utilizing statistical models to estimate the likelihood of occurrence of different risks based on historical data and actuarial assumptions.
  • Severity Assessment: Evaluating the potential financial impact of identified risks on the insurance company.

c. Scenario Analysis:

  • Stress Testing: Conduct scenario-based stress tests to simulate extreme events or adverse scenarios to understand their impact on the insurance product's viability.
  • Sensitivity Analysis: Assessing how changes in key variables (e.g., interest rates, mortality rates) affect the risk exposure of the product.

2. Pricing Strategies:

a. Premium Rate Determination:

  • Risk Loading: Calculating the risk-adjusted premium rates by incorporating estimated risks into pricing formulas.
  • Mortality/Morbidity Table Development: Developing mortality and morbidity tables specific to the product to estimate future claims.

b. Pricing Structures:

  • Experience Analysis: Analyzing historical data to understand policyholder behavior and mortality/morbidity patterns, is essential for determining pricing structures.
  • Actuarial Models: Using actuarial models (e.g., life contingencies, survival models) to project future cashflows, claim amounts, and policyholder behavior.

c. Market and Regulatory Considerations:

  • Competitive Analysis: Evaluating competitors' products and pricing strategies to ensure competitiveness.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Ensuring that the pricing aligns with regulatory requirements and standards (e.g., minimum capital requirements, and solvency ratios).

3. Technical Aspects:

a. Mathematical Models:

  • Rate Making Models: Employing mathematical models (e.g., credibility theory, loss ratio method) to determine appropriate premium rates.
  • Simulation and Stochastic Models: Utilizing simulation techniques and stochastic modeling for pricing uncertainty and risk assessment.

b. Actuarial Assumptions:

  • Assumption Setting: Defining and justifying key assumptions related to mortality, morbidity, lapse rates, and investment returns used in pricing models.
  • Sensitivity Testing: Testing the impact of variations in assumptions on pricing outcomes.

4. Financial Models:

  • Cashflow Projection: Building comprehensive models that predict future inflows and outflows based on premiums, claims, and investments.
  • Profitability Assessment: Evaluating the expected profitability of insurance products by forecasting revenues and expenses over time.
  • Liability Projections: Estimating future liabilities, including reserves needed to cover policyholder obligations, considering factors like policy durations, mortality rates, and policyholder behavior.


About

$30/hr Ongoing

Download Resume

1. Risk Assessment:

a. Risk Identification:

  • Hazard Analysis: Assessing potential risks associated with new insurance products by identifying various hazards (e.g., mortality, morbidity, lapse rates, etc.).
  • Data Collection: Gathering relevant historical data, considering factors like demographics, health statistics, and market trends.

b. Risk Quantification:

  • Probability Estimation: Utilizing statistical models to estimate the likelihood of occurrence of different risks based on historical data and actuarial assumptions.
  • Severity Assessment: Evaluating the potential financial impact of identified risks on the insurance company.

c. Scenario Analysis:

  • Stress Testing: Conduct scenario-based stress tests to simulate extreme events or adverse scenarios to understand their impact on the insurance product's viability.
  • Sensitivity Analysis: Assessing how changes in key variables (e.g., interest rates, mortality rates) affect the risk exposure of the product.

2. Pricing Strategies:

a. Premium Rate Determination:

  • Risk Loading: Calculating the risk-adjusted premium rates by incorporating estimated risks into pricing formulas.
  • Mortality/Morbidity Table Development: Developing mortality and morbidity tables specific to the product to estimate future claims.

b. Pricing Structures:

  • Experience Analysis: Analyzing historical data to understand policyholder behavior and mortality/morbidity patterns, is essential for determining pricing structures.
  • Actuarial Models: Using actuarial models (e.g., life contingencies, survival models) to project future cashflows, claim amounts, and policyholder behavior.

c. Market and Regulatory Considerations:

  • Competitive Analysis: Evaluating competitors' products and pricing strategies to ensure competitiveness.
  • Regulatory Compliance: Ensuring that the pricing aligns with regulatory requirements and standards (e.g., minimum capital requirements, and solvency ratios).

3. Technical Aspects:

a. Mathematical Models:

  • Rate Making Models: Employing mathematical models (e.g., credibility theory, loss ratio method) to determine appropriate premium rates.
  • Simulation and Stochastic Models: Utilizing simulation techniques and stochastic modeling for pricing uncertainty and risk assessment.

b. Actuarial Assumptions:

  • Assumption Setting: Defining and justifying key assumptions related to mortality, morbidity, lapse rates, and investment returns used in pricing models.
  • Sensitivity Testing: Testing the impact of variations in assumptions on pricing outcomes.

4. Financial Models:

  • Cashflow Projection: Building comprehensive models that predict future inflows and outflows based on premiums, claims, and investments.
  • Profitability Assessment: Evaluating the expected profitability of insurance products by forecasting revenues and expenses over time.
  • Liability Projections: Estimating future liabilities, including reserves needed to cover policyholder obligations, considering factors like policy durations, mortality rates, and policyholder behavior.


Skills & Expertise

AlgorithmsAnalyticsConsultantData AnalysisData ManagementData ModelingData VisualizationMachine LearningMathematicsMicrosoft ExcelModelingR Programming

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